xF.
Aston Villa

1–2

xG 1.06–2.38

Nottingham Forest

Villa Park

Birmingham · Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 UK · Premier League · Cap 42,640

xVerdict

NFO deserved this on chance quality. The open-play gap sat with NFO. NFO held the pressure for most of the night.

Chance story

Where the chances came fromFact
NFO led chance quality.
xAnalysis

Open play split 0.98–2.11.

AVLNFO
0.98Open play2.11
0.08Set play0.27
0.00Free kicks0.04
0.05Corners0.00
Shot profileFact
NFO took more shots.
xAnalysis

AVL created the better looks (0.15–0.11 xG per shot).

AVLNFO

Shots

7 – 22

xG / shot

0.15 – 0.11

On target

5 – 7

Inside box

6 – 14

Outside box

1 – 8

Blocked

1 – 3

Woodwork

0 – 0

Big chances

2 – 4

Big missed

1 – 3

KeeperFact
NFO's keeper did more against the model.
xAnalysis

xG prevented finished 0.03–0.55.

AVL

0.03

xG prevented

NFO

0.55

xG prevented

Decisive people & moments

TimelineFact
The last goal arrived late.
xAnalysis

NFO scored it in the 88'.

First half

  • 25'Tyrone Mings on, Pau Torres off.
  • 43'Yellow, Dan Ndoye (Foul).
  • 45'Yellow, Nicolas Jackson (Argument).
  • 45+3'Yellow, Murillo (Foul).

Second half

  • 46'Liam Delap scores (right foot shot, Murillo).
  • 46'Tammy Abraham on, Nicolas Jackson off.
  • 46'Alysson on, George Hemmings off.
  • 56'Yellow, Xaver Schlager (Foul).
  • 63'Johan Manzambi  on, Ross Barkley off.
  • 63'Ibrahim Mbaye on, Emiliano Buendía off.
  • 74'Alysson scores (header, John McGinn ).
  • 75'Yellow, Liam Delap (Argument).
  • 75'Igor Jesus on, Dan Ndoye off.
  • 80'Yellow, James McAtee (Foul).
  • 82'Ibrahim Sangaré on, James McAtee off.
  • 83'Unknown on, Ian Maatsen off.
  • 88'Igor Jesus scores (right foot shot, Morgan Gibbs-White).
  • 90+5'Yellow, Tyrone Mings (Foul).
  • Goal
  • Yellow card
  • Red card
  • Substitution
  • VAR
Starting shape · 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1Fact
NFO have a spare centre-back against a lone nine, and wing-backs against AVL's wide players.
xAnalysis

AVL set up 4-2-3-1. NFO set up 3-4-2-1.

AVL · 4-2-3-1NFO · 3-4-2-1

136781011142229532351014192124262734SuzukiLindelöfBarkleyMcGinnKamaraBuendíaJacksonTorresMaatsenWan-BissakaHemmingsDiomandeWilliamsMurilloGibbs-WhiteNdoyeDelapSchlagerMcAteeSelsMuñozAina
Player ratingsFact
NFO's XI rated higher.
xAnalysis

The averages finished 6.7–7.2. Gibbs-White led the card at 8.0.

AVL

7John McGinnMF907.22
1Zion SuzukiGK907.10
29Aaron Wan-BissakaDF907.11
47AlyssonFW447.00
8Boubacar KamaraMF906.81
5Tyrone MingsDF656.80
19Ibrahim MbayeFW276.71
14Pau TorresDF256.60
53George HemmingsMF466.51
22Ian MaatsenDF836.50
6Ross BarkleyMF636.50
18Tammy AbrahamFW446.40
11Nicolas JacksonFW466.30
3Victor LindelöfDF906.30
10Emiliano BuendíaMF636.20
44Johan ManzambiMF276.20

NFO

10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteFW908.07
21Xaver SchlagerMF907.71
26Matz SelsGK907.50
27Daniel MuñozMF907.55
19Liam DelapFW907.31
11Igor JesusFW157.31
24James McAteeMF827.22
3Neco WilliamsMF907.01
5MurilloDF907.01
2Ousmane DiomandeDF907.00
34Ola AinaDF906.70
14Dan NdoyeFW756.51
6Ibrahim SangaréMF86.50
9Chris WoodFW10.00
Missing playersFact
AVL were thinner on the night.
xAnalysis

5 absences to 1.

AVL

  • Leon GoretzkaUnavailable
  • Amadou OnanaUnavailable
  • Taylor Harwood-BellisUnavailable
  • João GomesUnavailable
  • Brian MadjoUnavailable

NFO

  • Nicolò SavonaUnavailable

How it tilted

MomentumFact
The minute series stayed with NFO.
xAnalysis

The minute series ran 24–76, AVL to NFO.

  • Goal
  • Big chance
HT1H2H
Field tiltFact
The ball lived between the boxes.
xAnalysis

Neither final third owned the night.

AVL thirdMiddleNFO third
21%50%29%
AVLNFO
Match statsFact
AVL had more of the ball.
xAnalysis

NFO had the better chances.

AVLNFO

Possession

53% – 47%

Lge 50.0%

Passes

412 – 358

Lge 440.3

Corners

6 – 1

Lge 4.7

Tackles

17 – 23

Lge 15.4

npxG

1.06 – 2.38