MLS · 26 Apr · Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
2–1
Real Salt Lake
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 2.61-1.19 against a 2-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 16-15, in the box 11-10.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 51' · RSL 50' of 102.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks0.51
AFAPI-Football2.61
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis2.69
Real Salt Lake
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.19
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.81
SMSportmonksn/a
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 2.18 xG band. A very wide spread. Treat any single figure here with caution.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who made the match→

16 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Marco Reus
M · 89'
8.3
rating
89
minutes
3
key passes

2 goals, 3 shots, 3 on target, 3 key passes

Unseen work
Harbor Miller
F · 72'
7.3
rating
72
minutes
4
key passes

1 shot, 4 key passes

Off the pace
Carlos Garcés
D · 98'
6.3
rating
98
minutes

98 minutes

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Carlos Garcés
98
6.3
5.2
5.4
5.5
4 tackles and interceptions
Gabriel Pec
98
5.9
5.4
6.5
7.7
3 on target, 4 shots
James Marcinkowski
98
–
–
5.1
7.6
8 saves
Joseph Paintsil
98
5.7
5.7
6.1
6.8
98 minutes
Justin Haak
98
6.1
6.8
5.6
7.6
6 tackles and interceptions
Lucas Sanabria
98
5.8
7.3
5.5
8.0
6 tackles and interceptions
Mauricio Cuevas
98
5.8
5.5
5.1
7.9
4 tackles and interceptions
John Nelson
89
5.9
6.6
5.4
6.8
4 tackles and interceptions
Marco Reus
89
8.5
5.9
7.8
5.3
2 goals, 3 key passes
Harbor Miller
72
6.5
8.0
5.5
7.7
4 key passes
Jakob Glesnes
45
6.0
6.3
4.6
8.1
45 minutes
Elijah Wynder
31
8.1
6.5
8.3
4.9
31 minutes
Miki Yamane
26
5.9
5.9
7.6
4.6
26 minutes
Edwin Cerrillo
22
5.7
5.3
4.9
8.2
22 minutes
Chris Rindov
9
–
–
–
–
9 minutes
Isaiah Parente
9
–
–
–
–
9 minutes
Real Salt Lake
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Juan Manuel Sanabria
98
5.2
5.4
6.1
8.1
6 tackles and interceptions
Justen Glad
98
6.7
5.7
5.7
8.0
98 minutes
Noel Caliskan
98
7.8
5.3
6.8
6.2
98 minutes
Rafael Cabral
98
–
–
8.4
6.6
4 saves
Sam Junqua
98
7.8
7.3
7.5
7.2
98 minutes
Zavier Gozo
98
5.5
6.9
5.4
5.0
3 key passes
Stijn Spierings
87
7.1
5.4
6.2
4.9
87 minutes
Diego Luna
76
5.1
5.5
6.5
4.9
76 minutes
Philip Quinton
76
6.4
5.5
6.2
5.5
76 minutes
Aiden Hezarkhani
56
5.1
5.5
6.2
7.4
56 minutes
Victor Olatunji
56
6.2
5.8
8.3
7.5
2 on target
Morgan Guilavogui
42
7.6
6.0
6.8
6.8
2 on target
Sergi Solans
42
5.0
5.1
4.5
6.4
42 minutes
DeAndre Yedlin
22
6.2
8.5
8.2
8.1
22 minutes
Dominik Marczuk
22
–
–
–
–
22 minutes
Pablo Ruíz
11
–
–
–
–
11 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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