MLS · 9 May · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
LA Galaxy
2–1
Atlanta United FC
Recap
Sources complete · 3 of 3 models
01
Modelled xG 2.14-1.06 against a 2-1 scoreline.
02
Shots 10-14, in the box 8-11.
03
Pressure Index minutes: LA 42' · ATL 57' of 100.

What the models saw→

Goals against expected, both sides

LA Galaxy
0123 xG
SMSportmonks1.42
AFAPI-Football2.14
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis2.34
Atlanta United FC
0123 xG
AFAPI-Football1.06
ASAAmerican Soccer Analysis1.51
SMSportmonks1.38
Goals scoredEach model's xGInside the noise floor

Each provider runs its own shot model over the same shots. They weight chance quality differently, so they disagree. Gaps under 0.3 xG are noise.

Models that reported put LA Galaxy in a 0.92 xG band. A wide spread. The models are reading the chances differently.

3 of 3 models complete. Values sit side by side. They are not averaged. How we handle this

Who had the match→

Pressure Index by minute · not PPDA · LA 42' · ATL 57' of 100

69' Fortune
74' Pec
79' Pec
LA Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
Even
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Above the line: LA Galaxy doing moreBelow the line: Atlanta United FC doing moreCircle: goal · ring: miss · bar: card · diamond: subFilled: LA Galaxy · outlined: Atlanta United FC

Peak Pressure Index at 82'. LA 42' · ATL 57' of 100

Who made the match→

15 players · measured against their own per-90 baselines

Decisive
Gabriel Pec
M · 90'
8.2
rating
90
minutes
5
shots

2 goals, 5 shots, 4 on target

Unseen work
Carlos Garcés
D · 90'
7.3
rating
90
minutes
1
key pass

1 key pass

Off the pace
Joseph Paintsil
F · 89'
5.9
rating
89
minutes
2
shots

2 shots, 1 on target

Component ratings out of ten. An average night is 6.5. Above is better than that player's own baseline, below is worse. Ratings need 300 minutes of history.

Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Carlos Garcés
90
6.3
7.0
6.2
7.5
5 tackles and interceptions
Edwin Cerrillo
90
6.2
6.1
5.7
7.2
90 minutes
Gabriel Pec
90
8.5
5.2
4.9
5.1
2 goals, 4 on target
Jakob Glesnes
90
6.0
6.3
5.7
5.4
90 minutes
John Nelson
90
5.9
6.1
5.7
5.3
90 minutes
JT Marcinkowski
90
–
–
7.3
6.2
2 saves
Mauricio Cuevas
90
5.9
7.6
6.1
5.0
3 key passes
Joseph Paintsil
89
5.6
5.1
5.6
4.9
89 minutes
Harbor Miller
73
6.5
5.3
6.2
5.1
73 minutes
Lucas Sanabria
73
7.2
5.3
4.5
5.2
73 minutes
Justin Haak
65
6.1
7.6
4.9
4.8
65 minutes
Marco Reus
25
5.0
8.5
6.8
8.5
1 assist, 3 key passes
Elijah Wynder
17
6.0
5.4
8.4
8.2
17 minutes
Erik Thommy
17
5.4
6.7
5.3
7.3
17 minutes
Maya Yoshida
1
–
–
–
–
1 minutes
Atlanta United FC
Player
Min
Att→
Cre→
Pass→
Def→
Aleksey Miranchuk
90
5.2
6.9
6.2
5.6
4 key passes
Elías Báez
90
5.6
8.5
5.5
6.2
1 assist, 3 key passes
Lucas Hoyos
90
–
–
5.2
6.9
4 saves
Stian Gregersen
90
6.2
6.0
5.2
7.3
90 minutes
Tomás Jacob
90
6.2
6.1
5.9
7.0
6 tackles and interceptions
Tristan Muyumba
90
5.6
6.8
6.0
7.7
7 tackles and interceptions
Cooper Sanchez
83
5.8
6.3
5.0
5.7
83 minutes
Juan Berrocal
83
6.8
6.1
6.8
7.7
4 tackles and interceptions
Emmanuel Latte Lath
71
5.7
6.8
5.1
8.4
71 minutes
Saba Lobzhanidze
71
6.3
6.9
5.4
7.7
2 on target
Matías Galarza
60
5.4
5.3
4.5
6.0
60 minutes
Ajani Fortune
30
8.5
5.3
8.0
5.0
1 goal
Cayman Togashi
19
–
–
–
–
19 minutes
Luke Brennan
19
5.6
5.3
5.9
4.8
19 minutes
Enea Mihaj
14
–
–
–
–
14 minutes
Sergio Santos
14
–
–
–
–
14 minutes

What it changes

Season to date
−4.6
Points vs expected points
Western Conference · 20 played
13th
Conference rank
Season xG 6.3 · goals 4
−2.3
Paintsil · goals over expected

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